(DP 2003-04) Economic Growth in the Philippines: Theory and Evidence
Abstract
Economic growth in the Philippines is studied using Robert Solow’s neoclassical growth model, which predicts savings and population growth to have positive and negative effects,
respectively, on growth of per capita output. The empirical results tend to support the predictions of the model, but some limitations are evident. Human capital or education, which underpins technological progress, shows the expected sign but is not statistically significant. This suggests the need for some extensions of the Solow model, say, along the lines of endogenous growth theory. From a policy standpoint, the results suggest that raising savings, investments, and human capital, and slowing down population growth, continue to be well advised.
respectively, on growth of per capita output. The empirical results tend to support the predictions of the model, but some limitations are evident. Human capital or education, which underpins technological progress, shows the expected sign but is not statistically significant. This suggests the need for some extensions of the Solow model, say, along the lines of endogenous growth theory. From a policy standpoint, the results suggest that raising savings, investments, and human capital, and slowing down population growth, continue to be well advised.
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